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Market Movers – April 2018

April 02, 2018

At the beginning of April, we can expect a rise in rates of the Fed, in a very uncertain market moment, especially on the stock market.

The topics on protectionism, removal of monetary finance and geopolitical risk are still on the table and obviously the economy showing few uncertainties helps to keep the world system in balance. Let's go to see as usual in detail the macroeconomic data of the main G20 countries in April.

United States

After the Fed and the highly anticipated increase in interest rates, the market is focusing on macroeconomic data and the initial part will be the richest one as every month. The month starts with the ISM Manufactory index on April 2nd, on April 4th the ISM services and factory orders, on April 5th the trade balance (and here is a lot of curiosity to understand if the deficit will start to shorten) and especially on April 6th we will find the unemployment data after the super number of last month with over 300 thousand jobs created.

On April 10th we will know the data on production prices and wholesale stocks, then on April 11th the ever-precious inflation data of March which will coincide with the publication of the minutes of the previous FOMC. On April 16th, focus on retail sales, on April 17th industrial production, on April 18th the Beige Book of the Fed, on April 19th the leading index and on April 24th the consumer confidence. The month of April will then close with another expected macro data forecast on the 27th with the GDP of the third quarter of 2018.

Euroland

The first anticipatory data on inflation will be in Europe on April 4th, while more certain numbers will arrive on April 18th with the final data. In Germany, factory orders will be published on April 5th, followed by the industrial production on the 6th, the ZEW index on the 17th  and the IFO index on the 24th. Leaving the German territory on April 5th, attention to the European PMI indexes, but especially on April 26th, the ECB will still attract the attention of all world investors.

UK

With the agreement between the European Union and Great Britain on the principles that should regulate the Brexit, the markets will try to understand if the excellent data on unemployment in March could be followed in April by new encouraging data. Industrial production on  April 11th, unemployment on the 17th, inflation on the 18th, retail sales on the 19thand first quarter 2018 GDP on the 27th to close the month.

Japan

In a Japan struggling with scandals involving the highest political offices, the Bank of Japan announced last month that starting from 2019 they could start a monetary normalization policy. An event for Japan that has triggered the rush to purchase the Jpy. Among the most important data of the month we can quote the Tankan on April 2nd, industrial production on April 27th, inflation on April 27th and especially on the same day the meeting of the Bank of Japan.

Rest of the world

Below are the most important monetary policy announcements among the G20 countries:

Australia: April 3rd

India: April 5th

Mexico: April 12th

Canada: April 18th

Turkey: April 25th

Russia: April 27th


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